sun 22nd

• mia@car -3.5 car by 6
• wash@dal -11 dal by 6
• clev@det -3.5 det by 8
• sf@gb -6.5 gb by 12
• pitt@kc +11.5 pitt by 10
• sea@min -11 min by 5
• atl@nyg -7 nyg by 12
• no@tb +11 no by 9
• buff@jax -9 jax by 10
• indy@bal -2.5 bal by 1
• az@stl +9 az by 2
• sdg@den +6.5 den by 5
• cin@oak +10 cincy by 8
• nyj@nwe +11 nwe by 6
• phi@chi +3 chi by 1
• tenn@HOU -4 hou by 9

week 8

• hou@buff +3 1/2 hou by 4, cover
• clev@chi -13.5 chi by 14, cover
• sea@dal -10.5 dal by 8, sea w/pts
• stl@det -4 det by 5, cover
• sf@indy -14 indy by 14, cover
• mia@nyj -3.5 nyj by 4, cover
• nyg@phi -2.5 nyg by 2
• den@bal -4.5 bal by 1 den pts
• jax@tenn -3 jax by 3
• oak@sdg -16.5 sdg by 15, oak w/pts
• car@az -10.5 az by 1, car w/pts
• min@gb -3.5 gb by 8, cover
• atl@no -11.5 no by 14, cover

ats yr 44-56 winners yr 71-28 week winners 7-6 ats 4-9

week 7

• sf@hou -3 houston by 8 and cover
• gb@clev +9.5 packers by 10 and cover
• sdg@kc +6 sdg by 4, kc w/pts
• indy@stl +14 1/2 indy by 11, stl w/pts
• min@pitt -6 pitt by 11 and cover
• ne@tb +15 1/2 nwe by 13, tb w/pts
• nyj@oak +6 1/2 jets by 8 and cover
• buff@car -7 carolina by 6, buff w/pts
• chi@cincy -1 cincy by 1, chi w/pts
• atl@dal -4 1/2 dallas by 9 and cover
• no@mia +6 1/2 no by 3, mia w/pts
• az@nyg -7 nyg by 11 and cover
• phi@was +7 phi by 1, wah w/pts

week winners 11-2 ats 6-7

week 5

• clev@buff -6 buff by 7 and cover
• pitt@det +10 1/2 pitt by 7, det w/pts
• dal@kc +9 dal by 8, kc w/pts
• min@stl +10 min by 6, stl w/pts
• oak@nyg -15 1/2 nyg by 23 and cover
• tb@phi -15 philly by 19 and cover
• was@car -3 1/2 wash by 3 and cover
• cin@bal -8 1/2 bal by 16 and cover
• atl@sf -2 1/2 sf by 7 and cover
• jax@sea even seattle by 2
• hou@az -5.5 az by 4, hou w/pts
• new@den +3 1/2 den by 5
• indy@tenn +4 indy by 5 and cover
• nyj@mia +2 mia by 1

week 9- 4 ats 7-6

week 4

• cincy @ clev + 6 1/2 cincy covers
• det@ chi -10 chi by 7, det w/pts
• oak@hou -8 1/2 hous by 3, oak w/pts
• sea@indy -10 1/2 indy by 7, sea w/pts
• tb@wash -7 1/2 wash by 3, tb w/pts
• tenn@jax +3 tenn by 6 and cover
• nyg@kc +9 1/2 giants by 6, kc w/pts
• bal@nwe -2 1/2 pts cover
• buff@mia pick mia by 3
• nyj@no -7 1/2 no by 3, jets w/pts
• stl@sf -9/12 sf by 6, stl w/pts
• dal@den +3 dallas by 3, den w/pts
• sdg@pitt -6 1/2 pitt by 3, sdg w/pts
• gb@minn -4 vikings by 4, gb w/pts

week 11-2 ats 4-9

• tenn@nyj -3 nyj by 4 and cover
• gb@stl +6 1/2 gb by 4, stl w/pts
• was@det +6 1/2 wash by 3, det w/pts
• kc@phi -8 1/2 phi by 1, kc w/pts
• atl@nwe -4 atl by 5 and cover
• jax@hou -3 1/2 hou by 1, jax w/pts
• sf@min -7 min by 1, sf w/pts
• clev@bal -13 bal by 7, clev w/pts
• nyg@tb +6 1/2 nyg by 3, tb w/pts
• no@buff +6 no by 2, buff w/pts
• chi@sea +2 sea by 1
• pit@cincy +4 pit by 1, cincy w/pts
• mia@sdg -6 sdg by 2, mia w/pts
• den@oak +2 den by 5 and cover
• indy@az -2 1/2 az by 1, indy w/pts
• car@dal -8 1/2 dal by 4, car w/pts

winners 10-6 ats 7-9

• Hou@Tenn -6 1/2 Tenn by 4, Hou w/pts
• NO@PHILLY +2 1/2 NO by 3 and cover
• NWE@NYJ +3 1/2 Nwe by 1, jets w/pts
• CINCY@GB -9 GB by 6, cincy w/pts
• OAK@KC -3 Oak by 3
• AZ@JAX -3 AZ by 1
• MIN@DET +10 Min by 7, det w/pts
• CAR@ATL -6 ATL by 5, Car w/pts
• STL@WAS -9 1/2 Was by 10 and cover
• TB@BUFF -5 Buff by 6
• SEA@SF -1 1/2 SF by 3 and cover
• BAL@SDG -3 SDG by 4 and cover
• CLEV@DEN -3 DEN by 1, Clev w/pts
• PITT@CHI +3 Pitt by 4 and cover
• NYG@DAL -3 NYG by 2
• INDY@MIA +3 Indy by 4 and cover

wk 10-6 ats 10-6 yr 23-9 ats yr 16-16

wk 1 picks continued

jax@indy -6.5 indy by 4 jax w/pts, det@no saints by 11 det w/pts, dal@tb +5 dal, take tb w/pts, phi@car -2.5 car, take car giving 2.5, kc@bal -13 bal by 12 kc w/pts, nyj@hou -4.5 houston by 7 and cover, mia@atl -4 atl by 1 mia w/pts, den@cincy -5 den by 5, min@clev +4.5 vikings by 6 and cover, was@nyg -6.5 nyg by 7 and cover, sf@az -6.5 az by 7 and cover, stl@sea -8 sea by 2 stl w/pts, chi@gb -4 gb by 1 chi w/pts, buff@nwe -11 nwe by 10 buff w/pts, sdg@oak +9.5 sdg by 2 oak w/pts

season 13-3 ats 6-10

My tweets

Here we go!

Most Successful NFL Franchise

Using the same methodology I used with the coaches article I have the following franchises listed as the most successful in the NFL since their inception.


team titles pts
packers 12 146
cowboys 5 140
steelers 5 140
49ers 5 140
giants 7 121
redskins 5 104
patriots 3 95
raiders 3 84
browns 8 83
bears 9 82
colts 4 82
broncos 2 60
rams 3 53
dolphins 2 52
lions 4 45
eagles 3 33
bucs 1 32
ravens 1 31
jets 1 26
chiefs 2 18
titans 2 16
bills 2 16
cardinals 2 10
chargers 1 8

If you agree with this chart,which basically surmizes that winning a championship in a league with 32 teams is more difficult than in one with ten, then the Steelers have an opportunity to become the most successful NFL franchise ever with a win in the SuperBowl.

SuperBowl

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona +7
Steelers by 3, Arizona w/points

How Good was Tony Dungy?

In my estimation coaches are measured by only one thing, wins. While Dungy is by all accounts a nice guy he is is a very good but not great coach. In my estimation, only coaches who have won multiple Championships/Super Bowl titles deserve to be called great. I took all the coaches who won multiple titles and looked to see how many teams were in the league each year in which they won and totaled it up. For example a championship in a 10 team league was worth 10 points, a 30 team league 30 and so on.... Here is the list of the top 15....

1. Chuck Noll, 4 titles, 193 w's, 108 pts
2. Bill Belichick, 3 titles, 138 wins, 95 pts
3. Vince Lombardi, 5 titles, 96 w, 91 pts
4. Joe Gibbs, 3 titles, 154 w, 84 pts
5. George Halas, 6, 318, 75 pts
6. Guy Chamberlin, 4, 58, 70 pts
7. Don Shula, 2, 328, 68 pts
8. Curly Lambeau, 6, 226, 63 pts
9. Mike Shannahan, 2, 146, 60 pts
10. Paul Brown, 7, 213, 59 pts
11. Bill Parcells, 2, 172, 56 pts
12. Tom Flores, 2, 97, 56 pts
13. George Siefert, 2, 114, 56 pts
14. Jimmy Johnson, 2, 80, 56 pts
15. Tom Landry, 2, 250, 54 pts

This list is somewhat biased towards more recent teams, but in my estimation it is harder to win a title in a 28+ team league than in a ten team one.

What is surprising is that so little attention has been paid to the firing of Mike Shannahan who is in the top 10. The most similar coach to Dungy (139-69, 9-10 playoffs, 1 Super Bowl) has been Bill Cower (149-90-1, 12-9, 1 Super Bowl). 

AFC NFC CHAMPIONSHIPS

• BAL @ Pitt  -5 1/2 Steelers by 2, Ravens w/points
  
• Philly @ AZ +3  Philly by 2, Cards w/points

winners 7-3....spread 6-4

NFL Playoffs Round 2

• Ravens @ Titans -2 1/2   Ravens by 3
  
• Chargers @ Steelers -6 Steelers by 8
  
• Cardinals @ Panthers  -9 1/2 Carolina by 3, AZ w/points
• Eagles @ Giants  -4 Giants by 2, Eagles w/points

playoffs: winners 6-2 ats: 5-3

NFL DRAFT TEAM NEEDS

1. Det.    ALL 
2. St. L. ALL
3. K.C.   Any defense
4. Sea.   CB  allowed 7.67 ypa
5. cleve. Need WR
6. Cin.   Need OL,QB if Palmer doesnt return, RB 
7. Oak.   WR need someone for Russell to throw to
8. Jax    Corners, DE allowed 8.12 ypa
9. G.B.    LB, DL
10. S.F.   RB to compliment Gore, OL 
11. Buff.  Need OL, WR  38 sk 6.89 ypa
12. Denver  Need LB,DL 
13. Wash.  OL 38 sacks
14. N.O.   RB, OL  
15. Hou.    LB, DL
16. S.D.   Pass Rusher only 28 sacks w/o Merriman
17. Jets   Corners  14 Int's 234.5 ypg 
18. Chi.   Need DE, RB  28 sacks 
19. T.B.   LB, DL
20. Det  All
21. Ariz.   Team needs a RB and OL 3.5 ypc
    
22. Phil.  RB to compliment Westbrook 
23. Minn.  QB,WR
24. N.E.    LB, DL
25. Atl.    LB's DL allowed 4.9 ypc 
    
26. Miami  Corners allowed 7.01 ypa 
27. Balt.   need HR hitting WR opposite Mason 
    
28. Ind.   Running back to compliment Addai  
    
29. Philly
30. Pitt.  OL too many sacks too few rushing yds 
31. Giants  WR to replace Plaxico  
32. Tenn.  WR,QB 

Car.   Need QB,TE  no 1st round pick
Dallas Need OL       no 1st round pick